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On a strict reading of the form book it's Bezuidenhout who deserves that accolade, but last year's renewal was a peculiar one and he's far less suited to a shootout. As such, I'll back Wallace to end his own winless run having spurned good chances to do so both in Scotland and here in Dubai in an otherwise encouraging Although he could do with driving the ball better, Wallace is enjoying a run of sustained quality with his approaches and his short-game is dynamite - as has been true since his quick graduation from the Challenge Tour, he only really needs to keep it in play off the tee and then go to work.
This course is one where finding fairways is pretty difficult for everyone, and he was second here in when his short-game dazzled. Fast forward two years and his irons are much sharper, which helps explain why he was able to step up on previous form in Abu Dhabi to finish seventh.
Having led the field in par-four scoring while doing so, he looks absolutely primed for a move to a course where he's enjoyed greater success in the past. And perhaps last week's improvement can be partly put down to having Gareth Lord on the bag, which will help him here as much as it will anywhere. Lord spent a long time with Henrik Stenson, a former Dubai resident who has played this course more than just about anyone, and is a potentially game-changing addition to Wallace's team given the caddie turnover he's had.
Lord, who has also caddied for desert specialist Alvaro Quiros and Portugal Masters winner Steve Webster, can go and find another bag whenever he likes so you'd like to think he won't take any nonsense from Wallace, who impressed with his self-deprecation in that wonderful European Tour video.
It's a partnership which could take off at a course where Wallace shot a second-round 66 on debut before chasing home DeChambeau in In a recent interview with Kit Alexander , Wallace put that performance down to how well he drove it, saying: "I know for a fact the reason I played well around there in was because of my driving. It suits my eye nicely and I know the course really well from doing practice and prep there for many years.
Should he do the same this week, at a course where he's played a lot of golf outside of competition, his game is where it needs to be to go on and contend, knowing that victory here could propel him to the Ryder Cup as it did for Stephen Gallacher in , and Willett, via Augusta, after that. We can see this right at the front, where Hatton, Fleetwood and Fitzpatrick were almost identical odds but have now been re-ranked on the basis of one tournament. History suggests we should be a little cautious when it comes to Abu Dhabi as a guide to the Dubai Desert Classic, though.
Among the last nine Dubai winners who had played Abu Dhabi, three had missed the cut, while Bezuidenhout and Willett had finished 54th and 59th respectively. Only McIlroy, who went , has translated a big finish in week one to a win in week two, and the courses are about as different as it gets when we're talking modern, desert designs. I would argue that SHANE LOWRY might be better suited to this one despite having won in Abu Dhabi and he's taken to leave behind his missed cut last week, which was in fact his fifth in just seven visits to the course.
Lowry won the edition of that event because, well, golf is golf, and he happened to have a fabulous week around and on the greens. Five missed cuts in seven though represent the most significant evidence and last year's was soon left behind as he finished 11th here, having been 12th in Those two performances came after a five-year absence, his early efforts here having been modest, but Lowry right now appears to really enjoy the challenge at Emirates GC - a fact underline by ranking third and 10th for strokes-gained approach across these two visits.
With his iron play sharp enough last week as he narrowly failed to make the weekend, and 10 birdies suggesting his strong form in practice might not be far away in competition, Lowry looks to be a prime candidate to complete that quick turnaround in results we've seen from so many here. Anyone who has listened to him or read interviews will know that Lowry has a massive, Ryder Cup-shaped goal this year, and he worked hard in the off-season with it firmly in mind.
A missed cut in Abu Dhabi won't set him back - especially as he's won a World Golf Championship on the back of a missed cut - and he's another former Portugal Masters champion who has it within him to underline ties between the two events. Laurie Canter was runner-up in Portugal during a fabulous campaign which ended with fifth place in the DP World Tour Championship, and he's drifted to a tempting price despite a fast start which was undermined by a cold putter and some scrappy approach play.
It's worth noting that poor strokes-gained approach figures have been anomalies he's quickly recovered from and I think he'll take to this place on debut. We know already that Callum Shinkwin can score here because he was fifth at halfway in , when his effort petered out following a busy run in qualifying tournaments. Fast forward two years and this big talent is now a European Tour winner capable of taking the next step up the ladder, his performances since that breakthrough in Cyprus offering plenty of encouragement.
He's arguably the pick of the outsiders along with Takumi Kanaya, Minwoo Lee and Rasmus Hojgaard, three of the most promising players in the field. Lee hit it well last week and is one to keep an eye on with Saudi Arabia in mind, while Hojgaard's greens-in-regulation numbers ranked first were back at summer levels, when he won at the Belfry and contended everywhere for a month or so. Kanaya, meanwhile, shot on the PGA Tour a fortnight ago and won the prestigious Dunlop Phoenix on just his fourth start as a pro, following a fine amateur career.
Checking back on last year's record, I actually only put the German up once post-lockdown, when he finished third and should've won at the Belfry, so I may be making unnecessary excuses in keeping the faith after going in again for the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship. Drawn in the afternoon, which wasn't as bad as it looked but still made for a difficult start, Kaymer never got anything going and laboured to a missed cut at a course where he's a three-time champion.
But he'll take it in his stride, and wrote on Instagram that he 'used my unexpected spare time over the weekend very well and will be ready next Thursday', and despite an absence of silverware he is just as effective in the Dubai Desert Classic, where he has four top-four finishes from earlier in his career but has finished inside the top 25 in each of his last four, too.
Leading the field in greens hit twice in the last three years, including 12 months ago, Kaymer's strokes-gained approach figures are as strong as anyone's here and it's that which will eventually lead him back to the winners' circle. With Rory and Justin Thomas both absent and this event so often going to someone who has suffered a setback in Abu Dhabi, the shift in his price makes him hard to ignore.
Still, he was twice the price of Kaymer last week and I don't want to place too much stock in one windswept tournament now that the calmer and lower-scoring conditions of Dubai lie in wait. On that note, I'll finish by suggesting that Dean Burmester and George Coetzee are worth considering against Bezuidenhout in the top South African market, offered only by Sky Bet at present hence not featuring among the recommended bets. It may just be that Bezuidenhout wants a tougher test whereas his two compatriots, both of whom excel in the Portugal Masters, are suited by low-scoring shootouts.
The big-hitter was another to miss the cut last week but he was pleased to sign off on the front foot and is far more suited to the Majlis Course, where we should see birdies and eagles back in fashion. We are committed in our support of responsible gambling. Recommended bets are advised to overs and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.
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This golf course is a par 72 that measures 7, yards. Similar to other golf courses in the desert, this track is heavily exposed to the elements. When the weather is calm, this track can definitely yield low scores. As of this writing, the weather forecast indicates a rather calm four days of tournament golf this week.
If that does occur as expected, I fully expect to see lower scores at this year's Omega Dubai Desert Classic. Wonder who the Top Experts Picked? Click Here To Find Out. As I evaluated the key statistics of previous winners of the Omega Dubai Desert Classic, it became apparent to me early on that pure ball strikers that can pound greens in regulation on a consistent basis clearly have an advantage at the Emirates Golf Club.
Just to provide some perspective, the last six winners of the Omega Dubai Desert Classic averaged hitting I also observed from my review of previous data from this event that arriving at the Omega Dubai Desert Classic in good form is highly important. Let me be more specific. The last 11 winners of this event had at least one top ten finish in their last nine events played leading up to the Omega Dubai Desert Classic.
If that does occur as expected, I fully expect to see lower scores at this year's Omega Dubai Desert Classic. Wonder who the Top Experts Picked? Click Here To Find Out. As I evaluated the key statistics of previous winners of the Omega Dubai Desert Classic, it became apparent to me early on that pure ball strikers that can pound greens in regulation on a consistent basis clearly have an advantage at the Emirates Golf Club. Just to provide some perspective, the last six winners of the Omega Dubai Desert Classic averaged hitting I also observed from my review of previous data from this event that arriving at the Omega Dubai Desert Classic in good form is highly important.
Let me be more specific. The last 11 winners of this event had at least one top ten finish in their last nine events played leading up to the Omega Dubai Desert Classic. In summary, in my opinion, it is imperative for bettors to target golfers for potential wagers that are in relatively decent form. Here is a golfer to consider placing on your card to finish in the top ten. In those six events just mentioned, Christiaan has five top 15 finishes, including two wins South African Open, Alfred Dunhill Championship.
It has to be said that Lipsky capturing a fifth place finish in last week's stacked field of talent is impressive. Weather Forecast. The latest weather forecast for Dubai is here. The tournament should enjoy warm highs and dry conditions throughout the 4 days. Winds will be generally light to moderate throughout with afternoon breezes nudging mph.
Analysing the final stats of the past 11 winners gives us a little more insight into the requirements for this test:. Although his attendance in this event has been patchy, Garcia had previously ranked 1st for GIR here in ; Willett had recorded Incoming Form: Each of the last 11 winners had recorded at least one top finish in their previous 9 performances, so some recent form seems a fair pointer.
Event Form. Going back to , the only exceptions to the rule are Rory McIlroy in and Haotong Li in Even Hao-Tong Li has some Open Championship form having finished 3rd there in courtesy of a sparkling final round. This event also appears to be quite specialised with Els, McIlroy, Woods and Stephen Gallacher all winning this twice. Conditions here are likely to shape the type of winner we see from year to year. Hatton has won back-to-back in the past and could well repeat that feat if he can get himself up for this week immediately after banking another hefty cheque, whereas Fleetwood could bounce back having recovered from a poor start last week in Abu Dhabi to contend before fading again.
Morikawa presents a different question given he finished 10 th at the Earth Course on debut before Christmas and has been pounding greens in Hawaii on his return to PGA Tour action, I just wonder if the Emirates with its almost classical routing needs a bit of experience before it can be mastered.
That said, if one of the debutants is going to triumph then the 23 year-old is undoubtedly the prime suspect. His breakthrough win on the European Tour came at the classical, claustrophobic Valderrama in June where an incredible performance on and around the greens got him over the line by a massive 6 strokes.
You could be excused for pigeon-holing him at that point as a tough course specialist, yet last February he shot under to take the Dimension Data Pro-Am on the Sunshine Tour. Late wins at altitude at the South African Open and on Bermuda greens at the Alfred Dunhill Championship where his long game excelled on both occasions also muddies the waters in terms of trying to pinpoint his true strengths.
He has an excellent chance in my view. PayPal and Card Payments only. Please Gamble Responsibly. New customer only. Money back as bonus if first bet loses. Wagering requirements: sportsbook 3x at min. Unless forfeited the sportsbook bonus must be wagered before using the casino bonus. Bonus expires 7 days after opt-in. No deposit required for NI customers. Call to claim. Stephen Gallacher 0. With son Jack on the bag though the Scot proved too good for the rest of the field as he secured his first win for 5 years.
Nearly 2 years on and with Jack developing further as a professional Caddie, there are small signs of a positive underlying game as Gallacher returns to the scene of his back-to-back victories in this event in and Outside of those efforts, the Ryder Cup player also has finishes here of 4 th on debut in as well as 4 further top finishes that flank his two successes.
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On the Zweeler website you can pick players and win money each week or you can play a season-long game in which you have a roster of 22 players competing for you! It is great fun and there is great value to be had on some very good players right now! At the end of the season you can win a big cash prize. If that interests you, you can sign up to Zweeler here. Top that off with a T7 last week and a putter that looks to be red hot right now and we could see Wallace right up there come Sunday.
He will enjoy heading back to the site of his sole European Tour victory.
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It is great fun and there is great value to be had on some very good players right now! At the end of the season you can win a big cash prize. If that interests you, you can sign up to Zweeler here. Top that off with a T7 last week and a putter that looks to be red hot right now and we could see Wallace right up there come Sunday. He will enjoy heading back to the site of his sole European Tour victory. New Customers Only. Home News Tour News.